Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

101.54 – 132.06

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 115.2 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.5 ±11

9782Wextech Titans

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 40.2Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4688Saints Bot

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 22.57Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 38.77Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.7 ±11.2

76037603 VESPA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 33.29Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 40.2Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8884Knight Owls

Season APEX 249.1Event APEX 58.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9782, 4688, 1310

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9782, 4688, 1310

Auto

15.8 15%

Teleop

59.5 57%

Endgame

29.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7603, 4069, 8884

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7603, 4069, 8884

Auto

12.4 10%

Teleop

78.7 63%

Endgame

34.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.5pts

Blue projected score132.1pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.5
Score range: 77–157
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 423 vs event baseline 140.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.5Season APEX487.7

15.8Auto12.4

59.5Teleop78.7

29.1Endgame34.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	58
teleop	27	200
endgame	21	84
foul	20	0
total	81	342

Result

Final score

81 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 115.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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