Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 70.88

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 71.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.3 ±11.7

6865Manitoulin Metal

Season APEX 37.4Event APEX -36.69Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 30.92Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8081UMEI Lightning Robotics

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 1.21Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203.6 ±11

854Iron Bears

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 31.76Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7659HNMCS Robotics

Season APEX 85Event APEX -2.85Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6397Romero Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 41.97Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6865, 1310, 8081

/ 100 compat

Projected

-4.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6865, 1310, 8081

Auto

21.3 0%

Teleop

-26.9 100%

Endgame

-4.4 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 854, 7659, 6397

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 854, 7659, 6397

Auto

14.8 21%

Teleop

32.4 46%

Endgame

23.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-4.6pts

Blue projected score70.9pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.9
Score range: -31–102
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 171.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.3Season APEX203.6

21.3Auto14.8

-26.9Teleop32.4

-4.4Endgame23.6

56Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	21
teleop	43	26
endgame	52	8
foul	0	0
total	128	55

Result

Final score

128 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 71.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.