Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.96 – 213.44

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

380 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 76.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 460.5 ±9.8

5885Villanova WiredCats

Season APEX 128.8Event APEX 91.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3739Oakbotics

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 20.83Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

188Blizzard

Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 153.52Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.2 ±11

6864GryphTech Robotics

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX -0.42Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 119.35Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

865WARP7

Season APEX 162.1Event APEX 94.51Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5885, 3739, 188

/ 100 compat

Projected

266 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5885, 3739, 188

Auto

47.7 18%

Teleop

155.8 59%

Endgame

60.3 23%

Strengths

· 188 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6864, 1305, 865

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6864, 1305, 865

Auto

59.9 28%

Teleop

109.2 51%

Endgame

44.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266pts

Blue projected score213.4pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.5
Score range: 183–296
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 632 vs event baseline 169.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

460.5Season APEX365.2

47.7Auto59.9

155.8Teleop109.2

60.3Endgame44.7

15Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	54
teleop	224	145
endgame	80	48
foul	15	5
total	380	252

Result

Final score

380 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 76.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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