Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

228.9 – 8.74

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

292 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.2 ±9.8

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 114.69Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5885Villanova WiredCats

Season APEX 128.8Event APEX 87.75Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8349Newbotics

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 26.46Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150 ±14.9

9592Blues Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 10.14Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9580Grizzly Gears

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -4.36Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8081UMEI Lightning Robotics

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 2.96Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1305, 5885, 8349

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1305, 5885, 8349

Auto

47.4 21%

Teleop

122.1 53%

Endgame

59.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9592, 9580, 8081

/ 100 compat

Projected

8.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9592, 9580, 8081

Auto

19.6 0%

Teleop

-1.6 52%

Endgame

-21.1 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score228.9pts

Blue projected score8.7pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 220.2
Score range: -22–260
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 170.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.2Season APEX150

47.4Auto19.6

122.1Teleop-1.6

59.1Endgame-21.1

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	9
teleop	159	10
endgame	65	10
foul	0	0
total	292	29

Result

Final score

292 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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