Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.31 – 151.81

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 22.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.9 ±11.6

9782Wextech Titans

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 6.14Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6864GryphTech Robotics

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX -11.85Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2706Merge Robotics

Season APEX 109Event APEX 98.02Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326 ±13.9

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 111.05Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9592Blues Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 10.77Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4688Saints Bot

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 29.99Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9782, 6864, 2706

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9782, 6864, 2706

Auto

10.3 12%

Teleop

50.3 59%

Endgame

24.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1305, 9592, 4688

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1305, 9592, 4688

Auto

35.1 25%

Teleop

67.4 49%

Endgame

35.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.3pts

Blue projected score151.8pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.5
Score range: 62–182
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 167.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.9Season APEX326

10.3Auto35.1

50.3Teleop67.4

24.9Endgame35.8

78Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	49
teleop	54	75
endgame	21	42
foul	10	15
total	109	181

Result

Final score

109 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 22.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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