Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.68 – 22.65

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 114.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.5 ±10.4

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 108.66Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5885Villanova WiredCats

Season APEX 128.8Event APEX 77.81Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9580Grizzly Gears

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -16.79Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.3 ±9.8

7659HNMCS Robotics

Season APEX 85Event APEX -9.42Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8349Newbotics

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 20.86Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3739Oakbotics

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 11.21Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4069, 5885, 9580

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4069, 5885, 9580

Auto

45.7 27%

Teleop

89.1 54%

Endgame

31.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7659, 8349, 3739

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7659, 8349, 3739

Auto

-7.8 0%

Teleop

11.3 53%

Endgame

17.7 83%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.7pts

Blue projected score22.7pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147
Score range: -7–200
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 421 vs event baseline 166.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.5Season APEX277.3

45.7Auto-7.8

89.1Teleop11.3

31.7Endgame17.7

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	6
teleop	185	42
endgame	98	40
foul	0	5
total	328	93

Result

Final score

328 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 114.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.