Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

211.46 – 215.85

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

194 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 333.6 ±11.1

6110Doc Botics

Season APEX 70Event APEX 35.14Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9782Wextech Titans

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 27.85Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

188Blizzard

Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 148.47Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.8 ±9.8

8884Knight Owls

Season APEX 249.1Event APEX 177.78Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 38.44Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3739Oakbotics

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX -0.37Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6110, 9782, 188

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6110, 9782, 188

Auto

37.3 18%

Teleop

125.0 61%

Endgame

43.6 21%

Strengths

· 188 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8884, 1310, 3739

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8884, 1310, 3739

Auto

28.5 13%

Teleop

140.4 66%

Endgame

44.4 21%

Strengths

· 8884 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score211.5pts

Blue projected score215.9pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.4
Score range: 184–243
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 465 vs event baseline 152.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

333.6Season APEX476.8

37.3Auto28.5

125Teleop140.4

43.6Endgame44.4

5Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	52
teleop	107	130
endgame	59	64
foul	15	25
total	194	271

Result

Final score

194 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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