Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

370.26 – 194.58

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

396 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.7 ±9.8

188Blizzard

Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 164.22Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 106.61Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 99.43Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.7 ±10.4

9569Milliken Mills Silver Knights

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 94.76Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10611Gemini Robotics

Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 34.35Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2706Merge Robotics

Season APEX 109Event APEX 65.47Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 188, 1305, 4069

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 188, 1305, 4069

Auto

67.3 18%

Teleop

214.7 58%

Endgame

87.1 24%

Strengths

· 188 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9569, 10611, 2706

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9569, 10611, 2706

Auto

15.8 8%

Teleop

110.2 58%

Endgame

63.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score370.3pts

Blue projected score194.6pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 175.7
Score range: 168–397
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 618 vs event baseline 150.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.7Season APEX311.7

67.3Auto15.8

214.7Teleop110.2

87.1Endgame63.3

1Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	28
teleop	183	112
endgame	154	77
foul	0	5
total	396	222

Result

Final score

396 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.