Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.35 – 156.09

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 135

Prediction missed · off by 85.7 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 348.7 ±13.3

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 268.5Event APEX 168.46Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7659HNMCS Robotics

Season APEX 31.1Event APEX 2.46Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6865Manitoulin Metal

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 17.43Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 207.7 ±13.9

6859Big Metal Lakers 6859- BML Robotics

Season APEX 8.5Event APEX 59.9Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4920Belle River Boltheads

Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 74.43Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 21.76Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.3
Score range: 128–216
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 153.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348.7Season APEX207.7

26.3Auto18.7

106.7Teleop73.5

57.5Endgame69.2

69Consistency161

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	38
teleop	10	51
endgame	7	46
foul	10	0
total	38	135

Result

Final score

38 – 135

Prediction missed · score err 85.7

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

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