Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
160.65 – 87.9
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
202 – 12
Prediction correct · off by 58.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 128.8Event APEX 64.05Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 40.39Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 14Event APEX 56.21Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.7 ±11
Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 29.62Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85Event APEX 27.35Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 30.93Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5885, 5031, 6859
68
/ 100 compatProjected
160.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5885, 5031, 6859
Auto
36.3 24%
Teleop
87.8 57%
Endgame
30.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10611, 7659, 9782
38
/ 100 compatProjected
87.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10611, 7659, 9782
Auto
-3.6 0%
Teleop
41.8 53%
Endgame
41.0 52%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score160.7pts
Blue projected score87.9pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 72.8
- Score range
- 60–189
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
258.9Season APEX205.7
36.3Auto-3.6
87.8Teleop41.8
30.2Endgame41
94Consistency114
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 7 |
| teleop | 113 | 5 |
| endgame | 43 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 202 | 12 |
Result
Final score
202 – 12
Prediction correct · off by 58.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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