Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
500.99 – 154.79
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
359 – 117
Prediction correct · off by 89.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 651.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 26.68Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 199.94Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 274.37Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 371.5 ±15.6
9244Belize IT
Provisional
Season APEX 84.4Event APEX 25.07Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 37.37Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 92.35Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2359, 4403, 498
80
/ 100 compatProjected
501 pts
~2.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 2359, 4403, 498
Auto
89.8 19%
Teleop
286.1 59%
Endgame
107.9 22%
Strengths
- · 498 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9244, 4523, 5454
58
/ 100 compatProjected
154.8 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 9244, 4523, 5454
Auto
30.9 20%
Teleop
84.8 55%
Endgame
38.5 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score501pts
Blue projected score154.8pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 346.2
- Score range
- 123–533
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
651.9Season APEX371.5
89.8Auto30.9
286.1Teleop84.8
107.9Endgame38.5
3Consistency3
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 99 | 53 |
| teleop | 174 | 17 |
| endgame | 86 | 47 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 359 | 117 |
Result
Final score
359 – 117
Prediction correct · off by 89.9 pts
Match videos
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