Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

277.19 – 235.74

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

302 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428.2 ±10.4

10661Blue Phoenix

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 57.7Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 99.79Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 119.7Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325.1 ±12.8

3160F. R. O. G. - FIRST Robotics Organization of Grove

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 40.7Rank 33Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2373The Crickets

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 95.95Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6424Stealth Panther Robotics

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 99.09Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10661, 3277, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10661, 3277, 2403

Auto

43.8 16%

Teleop

155.9 57%

Endgame

75.8 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3160, 2373, 6424

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.7 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3160, 2373, 6424

Auto

45.9 20%

Teleop

128.6 57%

Endgame

52.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score277.2pts

Blue projected score235.7pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.4
Score range: 204–309
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 178.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428.2Season APEX325.1

43.8Auto45.9

155.9Teleop128.6

75.8Endgame52

33Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	29
teleop	176	90
endgame	62	37
foul	0	0
total	302	156

Result

Final score

302 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.