Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.68 – 155.01

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.8 ±14.5

2345Kearnage

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 63.66Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3134The Accelerators

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 32.96Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2359RoboLobos

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 29.06Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.7 ±12.8

1775Tigerbytes

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX 12.6Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6026Tiger Strike

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 44.14Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6424Stealth Panther Robotics

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 98.27Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2345, 3134, 2359

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.7 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2345, 3134, 2359

Auto

17.3 15%

Teleop

65.6 55%

Endgame

35.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1775, 6026, 6424

/ 100 compat

Projected

155 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1775, 6026, 6424

Auto

22.5 16%

Teleop

94.3 69%

Endgame

19.8 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score125.7pts

Blue projected score155pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.3
Score range: 95–186
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 324 vs event baseline 169.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

249.8Season APEX277.7

17.3Auto22.5

65.6Teleop94.3

35.8Endgame19.8

41Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	34
teleop	44	106
endgame	25	61
foul	15	0
total	123	201

Result

Final score

123 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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