Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.97 – 205.85

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 203.6 ±14.5

2341Sprockets

Season APEX 69Event APEX 35.51Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8711The Midnight Ostrich Runners

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 1.93Rank 44Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9472K2C

Season APEX 75Event APEX 24.53Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.7 ±12.4

2352Metal Mayhem

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 17.47Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5454Obsidian

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 91.58Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 96.8Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2341, 8711, 9472

/ 100 compat

Projected

62 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2341, 8711, 9472

Auto

15.4 26%

Teleop

40.5 69%

Endgame

2.7 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2352, 5454, 5550

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.9 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2352, 5454, 5550

Auto

39.9 20%

Teleop

113.4 57%

Endgame

44.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score62pts

Blue projected score205.9pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -143.9
Score range: 31–237
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 367 vs event baseline 169.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

203.6Season APEX445.7

15.4Auto39.9

40.5Teleop113.4

2.7Endgame44.1

63Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	39
teleop	59	169
endgame	19	62
foul	0	0
total	97	270

Result

Final score

97 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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