Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.59 – 200.73

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.4 ±17

1775Tigerbytes

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX 6.08Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2773IronDogz

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 22.72Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10626Smokin Batteries

Provisional

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX -2.21Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 332.3 ±12.4

6424Stealth Panther Robotics

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 91.93Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10377Aughtonauts

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 20.79Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 88.01Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1775, 2773, 10626

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1775, 2773, 10626

Auto

9.3 39%

Teleop

6.1 26%

Endgame

8.5 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6424, 10377, 3277

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.7 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6424, 10377, 3277

Auto

30.3 15%

Teleop

122.0 62%

Endgame

44.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score26.6pts

Blue projected score200.7pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -174.1
Score range: -4–232
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 170.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.4Season APEX332.3

9.3Auto30.3

6.1Teleop122

8.5Endgame44.2

72Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	31
teleop	31	168
endgame	19	47
foul	0	0
total	71	246

Result

Final score

71 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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