Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.95 – 370.53

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.7 ±19.2

3163ROARBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 12.29Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9462Toefur's Titans

Provisional

Season APEX 84.4Event APEX 45.15Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3278Electric Lakers

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 37.51Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 533.1 ±11.7

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 214.33Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 95.8Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2345Kearnage

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 60.4Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3163, 9462, 3278

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3163, 9462, 3278

Auto

18.3 19%

Teleop

56.2 58%

Endgame

23.1 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4403, 5550, 2345

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.5 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4403, 5550, 2345

Auto

44.2 13%

Teleop

215.9 62%

Endgame

90.7 26%

Strengths

· 4403 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score94.9pts

Blue projected score370.5pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -275.6
Score range: 65–401
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 543 vs event baseline 166.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.7Season APEX533.1

18.3Auto44.2

56.2Teleop215.9

23.1Endgame90.7

86Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	52
teleop	65	235
endgame	50	101
foul	15	0
total	155	388

Result

Final score

155 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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