Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.84 – 138.59

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.9 ±16.6

10377Aughtonauts

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 2.25Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9631Chargers

Provisional

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 25.74Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1209RoboHornets

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 2.85Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.9 ±13.5

9472K2C

Season APEX 75Event APEX 25.91Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 114.05Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1775Tigerbytes

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX -1.37Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10377, 9631, 1209

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10377, 9631, 1209

Auto

12.6 46%

Teleop

11.4 42%

Endgame

3.1 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9472, 2403, 1775

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9472, 2403, 1775

Auto

21.1 15%

Teleop

81.8 59%

Endgame

36.9 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score30.8pts

Blue projected score138.6pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.7
Score range: 2–168
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 163.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.9Season APEX315.9

12.6Auto21.1

11.4Teleop81.8

3.1Endgame36.9

118Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	25
teleop	63	108
endgame	42	37
foul	0	0
total	116	170

Result

Final score

116 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.