Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.64 – 177.38

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.4 ±15.1

1819The Quacken

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 20.78Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

4005Hostile Gato Robotics

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 47.3Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1775Tigerbytes

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX 12.56Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.1 ±16.5

1561Roboducks

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 68.96Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9007MIT (Muskogee's Innovative Team)

Provisional

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 15.9Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2373The Crickets

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 92.52Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1819, 4005, 1775

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1819, 4005, 1775

Auto

18.7 23%

Teleop

38.7 48%

Endgame

23.8 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1561, 9007, 2373

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.4 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1561, 9007, 2373

Auto

38.0 22%

Teleop

92.6 53%

Endgame

45.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score80.6pts

Blue projected score177.4pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.7
Score range: 48–210
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 185.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.4Season APEX305.1

18.7Auto38

38.7Teleop92.6

23.8Endgame45.3

42Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	34
teleop	27	82
endgame	13	55
foul	0	0
total	50	171

Result

Final score

50 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.