Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.83 – 98.89

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

282 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 41.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 389.8 ±14.1

2352Metal Mayhem

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 18.67Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2165BisonBots

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX -9.15Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 199.31Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.4 ±14.5

2359RoboLobos

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 45.88Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2773IronDogz

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 12.83Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3465The Omega Factor

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 40.18Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2352, 2165, 4403

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2352, 2165, 4403

Auto

46.2 24%

Teleop

104.2 54%

Endgame

43.2 22%

Strengths

· 4403 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2359, 2773, 3465

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2359, 2773, 3465

Auto

19.4 19%

Teleop

44.0 43%

Endgame

38.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score208.8pts

Blue projected score98.9pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.9
Score range: 70–238
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 158.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

389.8Season APEX277.4

46.2Auto19.4

104.2Teleop44

43.2Endgame38.9

52Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	28
teleop	173	53
endgame	60	27
foul	0	0
total	282	108

Result

Final score

282 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 41.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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