Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

333.27 – 53.97

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 50.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 480.9 ±14.9

2359RoboLobos

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 59.5Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 209.22Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1832Duck Tape

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 64.55Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.3 ±15.6

10626Smokin Batteries

Provisional

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX -21.33Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10980The Deadbolts

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 53.1Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3465The Omega Factor

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 22.2Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2359, 498, 1832

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.3 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2359, 498, 1832

Auto

66.6 22%

Teleop

185.5 60%

Endgame

56.3 18%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10626, 10980, 3465

/ 100 compat

Projected

54 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10626, 10980, 3465

Auto

18.6 29%

Teleop

42.1 65%

Endgame

3.9 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score333.3pts

Blue projected score54pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 279.3
Score range: 27–360
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 149.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

480.9Season APEX379.3

66.6Auto18.6

185.5Teleop42.1

56.3Endgame3.9

24Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	44
teleop	165	44
endgame	85	44
foul	0	0
total	310	132

Result

Final score

310 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 50.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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