Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

292.77 – 243.52

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

200 – 254

Prediction missed · off by 51.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 416.8 ±13.5

3134The Accelerators

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 15.47Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 202.41Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1561Roboducks

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 74.89Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.5 ±16.2

6353EFZ Robotics

Season APEX 138.7Event APEX 92.38Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9631Chargers

Provisional

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 32.02Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 119.12Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3134, 4403, 1561

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.8 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3134, 4403, 1561

Auto

71.8 26%

Teleop

145.0 53%

Endgame

57.2 21%

Strengths

· 4403 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6353, 9631, 5550

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.5 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6353, 9631, 5550

Auto

28.5 13%

Teleop

143.3 64%

Endgame

53.8 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score292.8pts

Blue projected score243.5pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.2
Score range: 217–320
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 454 vs event baseline 147.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

416.8Season APEX396.5

71.8Auto28.5

145Teleop143.3

57.2Endgame53.8

32Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	5
teleop	134	167
endgame	20	82
foul	0	0
total	200	254

Result

Final score

200 – 254

Prediction missed · off by 51.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.