Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.91 – 128.23

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.7 ±15

1775Tigerbytes

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX 21.1Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3278Electric Lakers

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 24.16Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2352Metal Mayhem

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 11.65Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.2 ±16.5

3179The A.N.T.

Season APEX 82.6Event APEX 52.16Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3313Mechatronics

Season APEX 88Event APEX 50.62Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3163ROARBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 25.45Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1775, 3278, 2352

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1775, 3278, 2352

Auto

23.1 46%

Teleop

21.4 43%

Endgame

5.5 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3179, 3313, 3163

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.2 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3179, 3313, 3163

Auto

34.1 28%

Teleop

61.0 51%

Endgame

25.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score56.9pts

Blue projected score128.2pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.3
Score range: 30–155
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 148.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.7Season APEX230.2

23.1Auto34.1

21.4Teleop61

5.5Endgame25.5

46Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	28
teleop	27	116
endgame	24	17
foul	0	0
total	58	161

Result

Final score

58 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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