Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.61 – 36.95

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 150.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.3 ±12.8

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 61.4Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1561Roboducks

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 51.84Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2359RoboLobos

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 47.37Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.1 ±16.3

3134The Accelerators

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX -21.22Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2373The Crickets

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 54.42Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1832Duck Tape

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 3.75Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2403, 1561, 2359

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2403, 1561, 2359

Auto

48.4 31%

Teleop

83.3 54%

Endgame

23.6 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3134, 2373, 1832

/ 100 compat

Projected

37 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3134, 2373, 1832

Auto

5.8 19%

Teleop

10.1 33%

Endgame

15.0 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.3 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score160.6pts

Blue projected score37pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.7
Score range: 10–188
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 498 vs event baseline 149.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

364.3Season APEX293.1

48.4Auto5.8

83.3Teleop10.1

23.6Endgame15

112Consistency150

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	53
teleop	159	91
endgame	55	84
foul	0	0
total	270	228

Result

Final score

270 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 150.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.