Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.54 – 136.6

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.8 ±18.6

1832Duck Tape

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 22.31Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10626Smokin Batteries

Provisional

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 46.61Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2352Metal Mayhem

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 1.62Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.1 ±17

4005Hostile Gato Robotics

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 14.29Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6353EFZ Robotics

Season APEX 138.7Event APEX 65.09Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9007MIT (Muskogee's Innovative Team)

Provisional

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 57.22Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1832, 10626, 2352

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1832, 10626, 2352

Auto

25.2 35%

Teleop

40.1 55%

Endgame

7.6 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4005, 6353, 9007

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.6 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4005, 6353, 9007

Auto

9.0 6%

Teleop

82.0 59%

Endgame

47.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score70.5pts

Blue projected score136.6pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.1
Score range: 44–164
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 120 vs event baseline 148.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202.8Season APEX260.1

25.2Auto9

40.1Teleop82

7.6Endgame47.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	12
teleop	3	41
endgame	3	42
foul	0	0
total	25	95

Result

Final score

25 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.