Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.06 – 160.47

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

87 – 63

Prediction missed · off by 63.8 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.9 ±14.5

1561Roboducks

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 48.86Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

31Jenks Prime Movers

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 30.49Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3313Mechatronics

Season APEX 88Event APEX 37.71Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.2 ±12.2

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 40.86Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2341Sprockets

Season APEX 69Event APEX 37.71Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4523MCROBO

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 81.9Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1561, 31, 3313

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1561, 31, 3313

Auto

13.8 12%

Teleop

67.5 58%

Endgame

35.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3277, 2341, 4523

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.5 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3277, 2341, 4523

Auto

26.0 16%

Teleop

96.3 61%

Endgame

36.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score117.1pts

Blue projected score160.5pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.4
Score range: 89–188
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 150 vs event baseline 152.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.9Season APEX317.2

13.8Auto26

67.5Teleop96.3

35.7Endgame36.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	17
teleop	9	14
endgame	0	32
foul	15	0
total	87	63

Result

Final score

87 – 63

Prediction missed · off by 63.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.