Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

457.06 – 287.81

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

513 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 57.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 651.9 ±11.7

2359RoboLobos

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 12.45Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 183.79Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 260.82Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 428.2 ±10.4

10661Blue Phoenix

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 61.99Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 102.7Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 123.12Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2359, 4403, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

457.1 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2359, 4403, 498

Auto

94.4 21%

Teleop

255.7 57%

Endgame

96.8 22%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10661, 3277, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10661, 3277, 2403

Auto

50.4 18%

Teleop

158.9 55%

Endgame

77.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score457.1pts

Blue projected score287.8pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169.3
Score range: 255–490
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 741 vs event baseline 183.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

651.9Season APEX428.2

94.4Auto50.4

255.7Teleop158.9

96.8Endgame77.4

5Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	44
teleop	242	126
endgame	148	53
foul	20	5
total	513	228

Result

Final score

513 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 57.9 pts

Match videos

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