Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

478.45 – 285.68

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

325 – 301

Prediction correct · off by 84.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 651.9 ±11.7

2359RoboLobos

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 19.5Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 191.54Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 267.41Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 428.2 ±10.4

10661Blue Phoenix

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 60.97Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 102.88Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 121.83Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2359, 4403, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

478.5 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2359, 4403, 498

Auto

92.5 20%

Teleop

273.4 59%

Endgame

100.7 22%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10661, 3277, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

285.7 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10661, 3277, 2403

Auto

51.7 18%

Teleop

156.8 55%

Endgame

76.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score478.5pts

Blue projected score285.7pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 192.8
Score range: 253–511
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 626 vs event baseline 182.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

651.9Season APEX428.2

92.5Auto51.7

273.4Teleop156.8

100.7Endgame76

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	40
teleop	146	173
endgame	73	88
foul	0	0
total	325	301

Result

Final score

325 – 301

Prediction correct · off by 84.4 pts

Match videos

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