Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

144.11 – 70.24

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 5.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.2 ±15.4

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 100.35Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9472K2C

Season APEX 75Event APEX -4.04Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6809Aviators

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 47.8Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.3 ±13.9

3526PrepaTec - Blue Ignition

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 40.2Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1785Blue Springs Robocats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 4.83Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2165BisonBots

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 25.21Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1939, 9472, 6809

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1939, 9472, 6809

Auto

33.7 24%

Teleop

64.4 46%

Endgame

40.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 3526, 1785, 2165

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.2 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3526, 1785, 2165

Auto

21.4 30%

Teleop

25.0 35%

Endgame

24.3 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score144.1pts

Blue projected score70.2pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.9
Score range: 45–169
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 137.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.2Season APEX211.3

33.7Auto21.4

64.4Teleop25

40.4Endgame24.3

41Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	19
teleop	77	33
endgame	28	27
foul	0	0
total	147	79

Result

Final score

147 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 5.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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