Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.52 – 5.01

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 23.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.4 ±11.2

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 32Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 101.03Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1561Roboducks

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 62.49Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.4 ±15

2352Metal Mayhem

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 2.68Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

34Rockets

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 8.36Rank 44Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1806S.W.A.T.

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX -6.03Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5550, 4522, 1561

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.5 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5550, 4522, 1561

Auto

47.7 25%

Teleop

104.6 55%

Endgame

37.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2352, 34, 1806

/ 100 compat

Projected

5 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2352, 34, 1806

Auto

7.2 0%

Teleop

-13.6 100%

Endgame

4.7 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score195.5pts

Blue projected score5pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 190.5
Score range: -20–221
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 137.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.4Season APEX226.4

47.7Auto7.2

104.6Teleop-13.6

37.8Endgame4.7

61Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	7
teleop	108	15
endgame	34	7
foul	0	5
total	214	34

Result

Final score

214 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 23.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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