Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

16.62 – 221.16

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 166 ±17

3247Robopack

Provisional

Season APEX 5Event APEX -4.01Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10377Aughtonauts

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX -2.52Rank 46Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4523MCROBO

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 23.15Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 574.6 ±9.8

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 33.43Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 73.59Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 114.14Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3247, 10377, 4523

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.6 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3247, 10377, 4523

Auto

6.3 57%

Teleop

-9.0 0%

Endgame

13.7 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2333, 4766, 3931

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2333, 4766, 3931

Auto

27.4 13%

Teleop

117.9 55%

Endgame

68.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score16.6pts

Blue projected score221.2pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -204.5
Score range: -8–246
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 137.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166Season APEX574.6

6.3Auto27.4

-9Teleop117.9

13.7Endgame68

64Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	23
teleop	26	138
endgame	13	62
foul	0	5
total	44	228

Result

Final score

44 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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