Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

53.42 – 53.42

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

42 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.5 ±16.2

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX -Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3892Roboponies

Provisional

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX -Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2352Metal Mayhem

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX -Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236 ±12.2

10661Blue Phoenix

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX -Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4005Hostile Gato Robotics

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX -Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2457The Law

Season APEX 73Event APEX -Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2333, 3892, 2352

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2333, 3892, 2352

Auto

16.0 30%

Teleop

26.7 50%

Endgame

10.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10661, 4005, 2457

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10661, 4005, 2457

Auto

16.0 30%

Teleop

26.7 50%

Endgame

10.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score53.4pts

Blue projected score53.4pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 34–72
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 73 vs event baseline 106.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.5Season APEX236

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	10
teleop	9	12
endgame	27	9
foul	0	0
total	42	31

Result

Final score

42 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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