Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

65.36 – 1.04

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.7 ±11.7

6026Tiger Strike

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 23.34Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10661Blue Phoenix

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 15.28Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 26.74Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 159.8 ±17.5

3247Robopack

Provisional

Season APEX 5Event APEX -3.6Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

34Rockets

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 6.9Rank 44Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8711The Midnight Ostrich Runners

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX -2.26Rank 43Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6026, 10661, 5968

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.4 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6026, 10661, 5968

Auto

14.7 21%

Teleop

45.1 66%

Endgame

8.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 3247, 34, 8711

/ 100 compat

Projected

1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3247, 34, 8711

Auto

10.4 0%

Teleop

-15.1 100%

Endgame

-1.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.91 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score65.4pts

Blue projected score1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.3
Score range: -24–90
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 92 vs event baseline 136.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.7Season APEX159.8

14.7Auto10.4

45.1Teleop-15.1

8.9Endgame-1.3

25Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	5
teleop	41	8
endgame	19	0
foul	0	0
total	79	13

Result

Final score

79 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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