Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.03 – 195.32

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.2 ±17

4005Hostile Gato Robotics

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 22.27Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5889Commandobots

Provisional

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 44.35Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9472K2C

Season APEX 75Event APEX -2.59Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.1 ±10.5

2341Sprockets

Season APEX 69Event APEX 18.8Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 102.37Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 74.15Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4005, 5889, 9472

/ 100 compat

Projected

64 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4005, 5889, 9472

Auto

35.9 51%

Teleop

7.2 10%

Endgame

27.9 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2341, 1939, 4766

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2341, 1939, 4766

Auto

23.5 13%

Teleop

103.7 59%

Endgame

48.7 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score64pts

Blue projected score195.3pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -131.3
Score range: 39–220
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 136.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.2Season APEX489.1

35.9Auto23.5

7.2Teleop103.7

27.9Endgame48.7

19Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	32
teleop	27	112
endgame	25	53
foul	0	0
total	84	197

Result

Final score

84 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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