Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

16.94 – 194.96

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 386 ±13

31Jenks Prime Movers

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 2.44Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 5.85Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9551Tiger

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 8.65Rank 45Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 475.8 ±12.8

2373The Crickets

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 89.69Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4523MCROBO

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 19.47Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2383Ninjineers

Season APEX 237.2Event APEX 85.8Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 31, 4206, 9551

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.9 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 31, 4206, 9551

Auto

11.5 95%

Teleop

-5.5 0%

Endgame

6.1 50%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2373, 4523, 2383

/ 100 compat

Projected

195 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2373, 4523, 2383

Auto

39.1 20%

Teleop

117.9 59%

Endgame

41.3 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score16.9pts

Blue projected score195pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178
Score range: -7–219
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 135.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

386Season APEX475.8

11.5Auto39.1

-5.5Teleop117.9

6.1Endgame41.3

26Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	36
teleop	12	164
endgame	6	58
foul	0	0
total	32	258

Result

Final score

32 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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