Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

258.27 – 144.6

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

350 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 77.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 472.3 ±12.4

2183Tigerbots

Season APEX 116Event APEX 45Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2773IronDogz

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 38.65Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4635PrepaTec - Botbusters

Season APEX 262Event APEX 174.62Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 358.6 ±14.7

10661Blue Phoenix

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 12.4Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 97.14Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5889Commandobots

Provisional

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 35.06Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2183, 2773, 4635

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2183, 2773, 4635

Auto

58.9 24%

Teleop

141.5 57%

Endgame

48.3 19%

Strengths

· 4635 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10661, 1939, 5889

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10661, 1939, 5889

Auto

41.6 30%

Teleop

51.6 37%

Endgame

46.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score258.3pts

Blue projected score144.6pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.7
Score range: 121–282
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 558 vs event baseline 133.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

472.3Season APEX358.6

58.9Auto41.6

141.5Teleop51.6

48.3Endgame46

108Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	54
teleop	181	103
endgame	90	51
foul	10	0
total	350	208

Result

Final score

350 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 77.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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