Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.39 – 127.18

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

206 – 131

Prediction missed · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.6 ±11.7

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 30.07Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2383Ninjineers

Season APEX 237.2Event APEX 73.96Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3160F. R. O. G. - FIRST Robotics Organization of Grove

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 22.36Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377.9 ±11.9

6424Stealth Panther Robotics

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 41.48Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 80.55Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10377Aughtonauts

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 5.15Rank 46Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5550, 2383, 3160

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.4 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5550, 2383, 3160

Auto

36.7 31%

Teleop

60.0 51%

Endgame

21.8 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6424, 4766, 10377

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6424, 4766, 10377

Auto

4.8 4%

Teleop

70.6 57%

Endgame

48.1 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score126.4pts

Blue projected score127.2pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.8
Score range: 102–151
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 133.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.6Season APEX377.9

36.7Auto4.8

60Teleop70.6

21.8Endgame48.1

75Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	21
teleop	90	57
endgame	53	33
foul	20	20
total	206	131

Result

Final score

206 – 131

Prediction missed · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.