Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
4.35 – 106.67
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.6 ±14.1
Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 2.14Rank 46Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 59.6Event APEX -22.06Rank 43Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 24.27Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.8 ±15
Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 28.59Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 40.4Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 37.68Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10377, 8711, 5550
7
/ 100 compatProjected
4.4 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 10377, 8711, 5550
Auto
9.7 0%
Teleop
-15.2 100%
Endgame
3.9 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4005, 2773, 2165
51
/ 100 compatProjected
106.7 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 4005, 2773, 2165
Auto
33.2 32%
Teleop
36.0 35%
Endgame
34.1 33%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score4.4pts
Blue projected score106.7pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102.3
- Score range
- -19–130
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
317.6Season APEX244.8
9.7Auto33.2
-15.2Teleop36
3.9Endgame34.1
120Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 26 |
| teleop | 14 | 66 |
| endgame | 10 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 112 |
Result
Final score
46 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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