Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 41.78

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 64.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.8 ±14.5

10377Aughtonauts

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX -4.5Rank 46Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

31Jenks Prime Movers

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX -15.98Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1785Blue Springs Robocats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 1.71Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 371.2 ±12.4

2773IronDogz

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 28.42Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 13.29Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10661Blue Phoenix

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 0.07Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10377, 31, 1785

/ 100 compat

Projected

-18.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10377, 31, 1785

Auto

11.1 0%

Teleop

-28.9 100%

Endgame

4.8 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2773, 5550, 10661

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2773, 5550, 10661

Auto

7.1 19%

Teleop

13.8 36%

Endgame

17.1 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-18.8pts

Blue projected score41.8pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.8
Score range: -24–66
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 131.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.8Season APEX371.2

11.1Auto7.1

-28.9Teleop13.8

4.8Endgame17.1

34Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	33
teleop	19	66
endgame	22	18
foul	0	5
total	48	122

Result

Final score

48 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 64.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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