Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.55 – 138.95

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

186 – 76

Prediction missed · off by 96.7 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 157 ±15.6

2718Team OKC e'possums (Σ 1/n! x 10³)

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 44.5Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2457The Law

Season APEX 28.2Event APEX 9.26Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3892Roboponies

Provisional

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 1.79Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 179.8 ±17.5

5889Commandobots

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 32.36Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10377Aughtonauts

Season APEX 17.5Event APEX 42.21Rank 46Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4500RoboHounds

Season APEX 115.2Event APEX 64.38Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.4
Score range: 35–160
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-02
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 115.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157Season APEX179.8

20Auto18.8

13.2Teleop66.5

22.9Endgame43.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	36
teleop	81	17
endgame	67	23
foul	0	0
total	186	76

Result

Final score

186 – 76

Prediction missed · score err 96.7

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

Watch (youtube)