Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

331.9 – 96.59

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

294 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 640.8 ±11.7

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 111.17Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 185.78Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4523MCROBO

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 34.95Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 403.4 ±12.2

4500RoboHounds

Season APEX 137.3Event APEX 37.74Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 32.46Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3526PrepaTec - Blue Ignition

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 26.39Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3931, 1706, 4523

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.9 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3931, 1706, 4523

Auto

65.2 20%

Teleop

182.9 55%

Endgame

83.5 25%

Strengths

· 1706 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4500, 5550, 3526

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.6 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4500, 5550, 3526

Auto

22.4 24%

Teleop

50.1 55%

Endgame

19.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score331.9pts

Blue projected score96.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 235.3
Score range: 69–360
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 153.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

640.8Season APEX403.4

65.2Auto22.4

182.9Teleop50.1

83.5Endgame19

32Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	13
teleop	152	29
endgame	96	18
foul	0	5
total	294	65

Result

Final score

294 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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