Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.92 – 111

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

144 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 21 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383.1 ±12.8

4523MCROBO

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 50.05Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 79.24Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3526PrepaTec - Blue Ignition

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 12.63Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.2 ±14.5

8711The Midnight Ostrich Runners

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 29.66Rank 43Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2373The Crickets

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 89.77Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3160F. R. O. G. - FIRST Robotics Organization of Grove

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX -8.43Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4523, 1939, 3526

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.9 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4523, 1939, 3526

Auto

24.7 18%

Teleop

72.3 53%

Endgame

39.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8711, 2373, 3160

/ 100 compat

Projected

111 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8711, 2373, 3160

Auto

19.6 18%

Teleop

66.2 62%

Endgame

20.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score141.9pts

Blue projected score111pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.9
Score range: 90–163
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 215 vs event baseline 118.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383.1Season APEX286.2

24.7Auto19.6

72.3Teleop66.2

39.4Endgame20.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	29
teleop	64	32
endgame	53	10
foul	0	0
total	144	71

Result

Final score

144 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 21 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.