Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
50.37 – 36.47
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
120 – 220
Prediction missed · off by 126.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 11.61Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143Event APEX -2.76Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 41.52Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383 ±11.7
Season APEX 70.8Event APEX -5.91Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 0.86Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262Event APEX 41.52Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2718, 2333, 4206
25
/ 100 compatProjected
50.4 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 2718, 2333, 4206
Auto
17.6 41%
Teleop
1.7 4%
Endgame
23.9 55%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4005, 1785, 4635
19
/ 100 compatProjected
36.5 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 4005, 1785, 4635
Auto
26.4 90%
Teleop
-4.6 0%
Endgame
7.5 26%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score50.4pts
Blue projected score36.5pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 13.9
- Score range
- 13–73
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
537.2Season APEX383
17.6Auto26.4
1.7Teleop-4.6
23.9Endgame7.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 54 |
| teleop | 50 | 93 |
| endgame | 41 | 68 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 120 | 220 |
Result
Final score
120 – 220
Prediction missed · off by 126.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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