Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

442.53 – 175.85

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

493 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 71.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 613.9 ±11.7

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX -18.16Rank 30Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4611OZone

Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 198.62Rank 4Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 262.07Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.1 ±12.7

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 40.15Rank 20Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4145WorBots

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 54.78Rank 17Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 80.92Rank 14Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3193, 4611, 4028

/ 100 compat

Projected

442.5 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3193, 4611, 4028

Auto

112.9 26%

Teleop

214.9 49%

Endgame

112.5 26%

Strengths

· 4028 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1014, 4145, 3201

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.9 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1014, 4145, 3201

Auto

43.8 25%

Teleop

93.5 53%

Endgame

38.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score442.5pts

Blue projected score175.9pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 266.7
Score range: 137–482
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 761 vs event baseline 216.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

613.9Season APEX468.1

112.9Auto43.8

214.9Teleop93.5

112.5Endgame38.7

121Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	60
teleop	275	140
endgame	133	68
foul	0	0
total	493	268

Result

Final score

493 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 71.3 pts