Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.98 – 210.92

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

167 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 110.1 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 490.9 ±13.5

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 31.63Rank 21Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 44Rank 15Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2603Steel Stingers

Season APEX 155.9Event APEX 43.35Rank 9Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484 ±12.8

2172Steel Unit-E

Season APEX 113Event APEX 3.68Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 44Rank 10Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 163.24Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5667, 2399, 2603

/ 100 compat

Projected

119 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5667, 2399, 2603

Auto

22.0 20%

Teleop

62.4 56%

Endgame

27.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2172, 1308, 4028

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2172, 1308, 4028

Auto

62.3 30%

Teleop

101.1 49%

Endgame

43.5 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score119pts

Blue projected score210.9pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.9
Score range: 82–248
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 550 vs event baseline 204.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

490.9Season APEX484

22Auto62.3

62.4Teleop101.1

27.4Endgame43.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	95
teleop	85	183
endgame	54	90
foul	0	15
total	167	383

Result

Final score

167 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 110.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable