Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

135.89 – 247.53

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

121 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.5 ±12.4

8145Tech Warriors

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 73.22Rank 29Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 30Rank 27Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 32.67Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 490.1 ±12.2

4121Viking Robotics

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 71.53Rank 11Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 167.43Rank 3Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4145WorBots

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 8.57Rank 17Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8145, 9767, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8145, 9767, 48

Auto

14.5 11%

Teleop

85.4 65%

Endgame

30.7 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4121, 1787, 4145

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.5 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4121, 1787, 4145

Auto

59.2 24%

Teleop

127.7 52%

Endgame

60.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score135.9pts

Blue projected score247.5pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.6
Score range: 99–285
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 407 vs event baseline 204.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.5Season APEX490.1

14.5Auto59.2

85.4Teleop127.7

30.7Endgame60.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	49
teleop	43	124
endgame	40	113
foul	0	0
total	121	286

Result

Final score

121 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable