Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.01 – 500.67

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 586

Prediction correct · off by 73.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.1 ±17.5

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX -3.46Rank 32Record 0-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4145WorBots

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 57.75Rank 17Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 37.72Rank 25Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 587 ±14.7

8718Tigerbotics

Provisional

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 71.46Rank 19Record 2-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 290.95Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 138.26Rank 3Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3777, 4145, 7885

/ 100 compat

Projected

92 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3777, 4145, 7885

Auto

24.1 26%

Teleop

44.3 47%

Endgame

26.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8718, 4028, 1787

/ 100 compat

Projected

500.7 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8718, 4028, 1787

Auto

100.4 20%

Teleop

270.7 54%

Endgame

127.2 26%

Strengths

· 4028 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score92pts

Blue projected score500.7pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -408.7
Score range: 51–542
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 616 vs event baseline 225.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.1Season APEX587

24.1Auto100.4

44.3Teleop270.7

26Endgame127.2

80Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	145
teleop	11	318
endgame	8	123
foul	0	0
total	30	586

Result

Final score

30 – 586

Prediction correct · off by 73.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable