Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

101.37 – 353.41

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 50 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 359.8 ±12.2

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 54.26Rank 15Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10208Mayhem Manufacturing

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 10.87Rank 18Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 36.24Rank 10Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 546.1 ±11.6

4121Viking Robotics

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 112.43Rank 11Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4611OZone

Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 163.25Rank 4Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 77.73Rank 12Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2399, 10208, 1308

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.4 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2399, 10208, 1308

Auto

39.4 43%

Teleop

29.3 32%

Endgame

23.2 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4121, 4611, 5811

/ 100 compat

Projected

353.4 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4121, 4611, 5811

Auto

74.4 21%

Teleop

182.5 52%

Endgame

92.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score101.4pts

Blue projected score353.4pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -252
Score range: 60–394
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 460 vs event baseline 225.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

359.8Season APEX546.1

39.4Auto74.4

29.3Teleop182.5

23.2Endgame92.8

115Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	73
teleop	58	141
endgame	25	92
foul	20	0
total	154	306

Result

Final score

154 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 50 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable