Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

148.5 – 110.82

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.4 ±13.3

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 80.39Rank 14Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 43.18Rank 22Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 24.93Rank 24Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359 ±14.5

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 25.82Rank 27Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 33.5Rank 21Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 51.5Rank 26Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3201, 4085, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.5 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3201, 4085, 10011

Auto

32.4 23%

Teleop

65.5 47%

Endgame

42.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9767, 5667, 9075

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.8 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9767, 5667, 9075

Auto

22.1 20%

Teleop

62.2 57%

Endgame

25.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score148.5pts

Blue projected score110.8pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.7
Score range: 70–190
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 225.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.4Season APEX359

32.4Auto22.1

65.5Teleop62.2

42.2Endgame25.1

137Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	20
teleop	51	54
endgame	23	31
foul	15	0
total	127	105

Result

Final score

127 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable