Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.88 – 223.49

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

122 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 56.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.3 ±18.8

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX -22.83Rank 32Record 0-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8718Tigerbotics

Provisional

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 85.69Rank 19Record 2-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 20.02Rank 27Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.7 ±13.3

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 59.08Rank 10Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 56.18Rank 20Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8222The Argonauts

Season APEX 97Event APEX 108.23Rank 6Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3777, 8718, 9767

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3777, 8718, 9767

Auto

26.2 31%

Teleop

33.9 40%

Endgame

23.8 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1308, 1014, 8222

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.5 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1308, 1014, 8222

Auto

44.5 21%

Teleop

153.8 72%

Endgame

15.5 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score82.9pts

Blue projected score223.5pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -140.6
Score range: 44–262
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 215.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.3Season APEX365.7

26.2Auto44.5

33.9Teleop153.8

23.8Endgame15.5

131Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	31
teleop	28	68
endgame	54	50
foul	0	0
total	122	149

Result

Final score

122 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 56.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable