Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

318.05 – 132.13

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

434 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 93.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 573.3 ±11.2

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 98.33Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2172Steel Unit-E

Season APEX 113Event APEX 45.45Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4611OZone

Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 174.27Rank 4Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.3 ±15.1

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 60.36Rank 26Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 31.68Rank 25Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8145Tech Warriors

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 40.09Rank 29Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 48, 2172, 4611

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.1 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 48, 2172, 4611

Auto

72.9 23%

Teleop

152.5 49%

Endgame

86.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9075, 7885, 8145

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.1 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9075, 7885, 8145

Auto

29.3 24%

Teleop

74.9 61%

Endgame

19.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score318.1pts

Blue projected score132.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.9
Score range: 93–357
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 495 vs event baseline 213.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

573.3Season APEX327.3

72.9Auto29.3

152.5Teleop74.9

86.6Endgame19

22Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	129	14
teleop	219	38
endgame	86	9
foul	0	0
total	434	61

Result

Final score

434 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 93.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable